Send me real-time posts from this site at my email

Southwest, United Seeing Modest Improvements in Flight Demand

Two of the nation's largest airlines on Tuesday provided updates that suggest the worst of the COVID-19 induced travel slump might be behind us, encouraging signs for an industry feared to be headed for a liquidity crisis if travel demand does not quickly return.

Southwest Airlines (NYSE: LUV) in a regulatory filing said it "has recently experienced a modest improvement in passenger demand, bookings, and trip cancellations, resulting in month-to-date net positive bookings ... where new passenger bookings outpaced trip cancellations."

Net bookings were negative through most of March and April. Southwest said it expects its load factor, roughly a measure of how full its planes are, to be in the range of 25% to 30% for May, an improvement over the previous estimate of 5% to 10%.

Image source: Getty Images.

Southwest said it "has also recently experienced a modest improvement in passenger demand and bookings in June 2020."

United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ: UAL) in a separate filing said that while gross bookings were down 95% year over year in April, it is seeing "a reduction in customer cancellation rates and a moderate improvement in demand" for travel.

These numbers do not imply the crisis is over. Southwest still expects operating revenue to be down 80% to 85% in June and United for June has chopped 90% of its June 2019 schedule. It's going to take months, if not longer, for schedules to normalize, and could take three years for traffic to return to pre-pandemic levels.

But they do suggest demand might have bottomed out last month and is slowly starting to recover. Airline shares have lost 50% or more of their value so far this year due to the crisis, and investors remain concerned that if traffic does not return by Fall some of the carriers will run into liquidity issues.

If these trends continue to creep higher, and are experienced throughout the industry, that's one small but positive signal suggesting the industry can make it through the COVID-19 crisis without bankruptcies.

10 stocks we like better than Southwest Airlines
When investing geniuses David and Tom Gardner have a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the newsletter they have run for over a decade, Motley Fool Stock Advisor, has tripled the market.*

David and Tom just revealed what they believe are the ten best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Southwest Airlines wasn't one of them! That's right -- they think these 10 stocks are even better buys.

See the 10 stocks

*Stock Advisor returns as of April 16, 2020

Lou Whiteman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Southwest Airlines. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Popular posts

Welcome! Is it your First time here?

What are you looking for? Select your points of interest to improve your first-time experience:

Apply & Continue