Is There any Hope for Teladoc Stock in 2023?
If you bought shares of Teladoc Health (NYSE: TDOC) at almost any point in the last three years, you're sitting on some gnarly losses right about now. The stock is down by nearly 60% this year, and after a weak earnings report published on July 27, investors are bound to be looking for the door, or at least wondering if there's any relief in sight.
It's clear that telehealth is enormously popular. As a type of service, it won't be going anywhere anytime soon. But whether Teladoc can successfully compete within telehealth is a different and more contentious issue. Is its stock hopeless, or are its current issues just bumps in the road?
Why things look a bit hopeless right now
Since the pandemic started, telehealth has become huge, and Teladoc is capturing consumer enthusiasm for remote care by offering its talk-with-a-doctor-on-demand service as a subscription. But its business model is far from being proven, and the company appears to be feeling some serious growing pains. Its second-quarter results
While its Q2 revenue rose by 18% year over year to reach $592.4 million, its adjusted
Perhaps the biggest bombshell is that Teladoc dramatically revised its earnings estimates downward. Whereas before it held that its net
There's still some hope for the future
The earnings update
Both of those tidbits are highly positive. Adding to its membership increases its base of revenue significantly, and making more money from each member means that it'll have less trouble breaking even. Furthermore, its rate of service utilization by subscribers also increased, reaching 24%. That's favorable because members who are using the service are likely to be getting value from it, thereby increasing retention, and it also means that there will be more opportunities to upsell them on the company's other programs.
The other piece of good news is that its gross margin slightly increased year over year, though it remains unprofitable. If Teladoc can keep squeezing more revenue out of each member while expanding its membership and retaining its current subscribers -- all of which it has done consistently over time -- it'll keep expanding its margin and eventually reach sustained profitability, and that'll be a major boon for the stock.
But don't expect profitability or a total turnaround of its recent fortunes anytime soon. Recovery of its share price compared to its highs in early 2021 is likely to be very slow as there aren't any obvious catalysts on the horizon that would cause the market to dramatically reevaluate its stock to the upside. As more competitors enter the telehealth scene, it's possible that margins will eventually fall under pressure again.
For now, it's likely that the rest of 2022 will be a wash for shareholders. In 2023, the situation may continue to change for the better, though without a fuller account from management about exactly what went wrong in Q2, it's hard to be super optimistic.
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