Better Cloud Stock: Adobe vs. Autodesk
Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) and Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) provide essential software for designers and other media professionals. Both companies also locked their users into sticky subscriptions by converting their desktop software into cloud-based services over the past decade.
That transformation turned Adobe and Autodesk into two of the market's most resilient software-as-a-service (
Should investors buy either of these stocks today as rising interest rates drive investment away from the tech sector? Let's look at their differences, growth rates, and valuations to decide.
The differences between Adobe and Autodesk
Adobe generates over 70% of its revenue from its Digital Media business, which houses its Creative Cloud (Photoshop, Illustrator, Premiere Pro, and other creativity software) and Document Cloud (Acrobat and Sign) services. The rest of its revenue comes from its Digital Experience business, which provides enterprise-oriented marketing, analytics, and workflow services.
Autodesk generates nearly three-quarters of its revenue from its flagship AutoCAD drafting software and additional architecture, engineering, and construction (AEC) services. The remainder of its revenue comes from its manufacturing and media and entertainment (M&E) software.
Which company is growing faster?
Adobe grew at a faster clip than Autodesk over the past five years. Between fiscal 2016 and 2021 (which ended last December), Adobe's annual revenue rose at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22%. Its adjusted earnings per share (
Between fiscal 2017 and 2022 (which ended this January), Autodesk's annual revenue grew at a CAGR of 17%. After several years of losses, Autodesk turned consistently profitable again in fiscal 2020, and its adjusted EPS rose 45% in fiscal 2021 and 25% in 2022.
Adobe and Autodesk both generated stable growth throughout the pandemic because they firmly locked in their customers with annual subscriptions. Both companies also stopped doing business in Russia earlier this year.
Adobe faces a tougher slowdown than Autodesk
Neither of these software companies is completely immune to a recession, but the media sector -- which drives most of Adobe's growth -- is arguably more exposed to macroeconomic headwinds than Autodesk's more-diverse mix of design, engineering, and manufacturing customers.
That's why Adobe is bracing for a tougher slowdown than Autodesk this year. Adobe saw revenue rise 23% in fiscal 2021, but it expects only 12% growth this year
Autodesk's revenue increased 16% in fiscal 2022, and it anticipates 13% to 15% growth this year --
The valuations and verdict
Adobe trades at 27 times
Both stocks have declined more than 30% this year, but Autodesk certainly seems like a better value than Adobe right now. Autodesk grew at a slower rate than Adobe in the past, but it might weather the near-term headwinds -- and a
Adobe is still a solid long-term investment, but its weak guidance for the rest of the year and its recent price hike indicate that darker days are ahead.
10 stocks we like better than Adobe Inc.
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