Is Royal Dutch Shell Stock a Buy?
Shares of oil majors have been tumbling as investors grapple with lower oil prices and question the long-term future of oil and gas. The sell-off has been particularly bad for Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS.A) (NYSE: RDS.B), which has lost over half its value so far this year.
Shell has its fair share of problems, but the company's strategic moves in April give reason to believe the worst could be behind it.
A greener future
Shell is somewhat in the middle when it comes to embracing renewable energy. Unlike some of its European competitors that could
One recent project is the Northern Lights consortium, which includes Shell, Norwegian major Equinor ASA, and French major Total. The goal is to capture CO2 and then use it in industrial processes or store it where it's less harmful to the environment. This effort is called "carbon capture and storage (CCS)," and it's arguably
While Shell's environmental efforts are admirable, the company hasn't figured out a way to monetize CCS or carbon-neutral LNG. For now, these efforts do little more than improve public perception of Shell. Still, they are worth keeping track of in the event Shell gains a competitive advantage in a green technology that can deliver bottom-line results.
Short-term struggles
The long-term payoff of Shell's environmental efforts has done little to mitigate the short-term pain on its business. Earnings, revenue, and cash flow are all down for what was once considered the leader in cash flow generation among
Weakening balance sheet
Arguably the biggest concern for Shell is its balance sheet.
Debt and leverage have been on the rise as Shell gives itself the necessary breathing room to weather the downturn. Despite being smaller than Chevron and ExxonMobil by market capitalization, Shell now has as much net total long-term debt as the two companies combined. This is disappointing considering Shell had one of the stronger balance sheets among oil majors just a year ago.
The verdict
Shell's efforts in CCS, carbon-neutral LNG, and reduced flaring of natural gas are all admirable, but they aren't helping Shell get through the current downturn. What is helping Shell is its lower quarterly
If Shell can prove that it can generate solid operating cash flow even with reduced spending, then it could emerge as one of the better oil majors from this downturn. In the meantime, Shell yields 4.5%, which isn't chump change.
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