Netflix Stock Falls After Subscriber Growth Projected to Slow
Streaming content pioneer Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) reported fiscal 2021 fourth-quarter results on Thursday, Jan. 20, that disappointed the market. The stock fell 22% on the day following the announcement.
Netflix thrived at the onset of the pandemic, when billions of people spent most of their time at home and demand for in-home entertainment surged. However, now that economies are reopening, Netflix is having difficulty adding subscribers. Let's dive deeper into the quarter's results.
Netflix is expecting slower subscriber growth
In its fourth quarter ended Dec. 31,
Netflix projected subscriber additions of 2.5 million for the upcoming fiscal first quarter of 2022. To put the magnitude of disappointment in that projection into context, consider Netflix's subscriber additions in Q1 in the previous five years: 4 million in 2021, 15.8 million in 2020, 9.6 million in 2019, 8.3 million in 2018, and 5.3 million in 2017. The company attributed the slower growth to macroeconomic hardship worldwide caused by COVID-19 and the overhang of the surge in membership additions at the beginning of the pandemic.
Still, Netflix took an optimistic tone in the shareholder letter that accompanies the quarter's results: "Even in a world of uncertainty and increasing competition, we're optimistic about our long-term growth prospects as streaming supplants linear entertainment around the world. We're continually improving Netflix so that we can please our members, grow our share of leisure time, and lead in this transition."
It holds that streaming content is, in general, a better alternative for consumers compared with a linear connection. But with rising competition in the streaming industry, it is no longer automatic for consumers to choose Netflix when cutting the cord on cable. Moreover, within the streaming industry,
What this could mean for Netflix investors
The price crash following the disappointing results has Netflix trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 36, the lowest it has sold for in five years. The stock is likely to get more expensive on that front as management is projecting Q1 earnings per share to decline from the same quarter the year before.
While Netflix's short-term prospects may be in flux concerning subscriber additions, its
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