The Surprising Reason Why You Should Fight Your Own Instincts in a Bear Market
Fight or flight is a natural survival mechanism. But history tells us that holding through periods of volatility is the best way to compound wealth over time. It's tempting to fight a bear market by shifting your investment strategy toward whatever is working in the moment, or to sell everything and clear your head.
Here's why defying instincts is one of the hardest parts of investing, but why it can be an essential quality for patient long-term investors to master.
Drawbacks of the "fight" response
Actively fighting a
Hedge fund managers may lose clients over a bad quarter. But as an individual investor, all you have to worry about is
There's a big difference between positioning your portfolio for long-term success and
For example, the long-term investment thesis for a company could change for several reasons. It could have a weak balance sheet, lack positive cash flows, or is making less money, which could force it to take on debt at a higher interest rate. Maybe the company is losing market share to a better-positioned competitor with deeper pockets. Consolidation is a common outcome of economic downturns, as companies with more resources have the means to gobble up smaller companies that are vulnerable to macroeconomic factors.
While an investor shouldn't overhaul their entire approach just because the stock market is going down, now is definitely a good time to make sure you are invested in companies you understand, believe in, and that have a good shot at growing for decades to come.
Drawbacks of the "flight" response
For many investors, the growth stock bear market of 2021 and 2022 is the longest bear market of their investing careers. And now that the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, Nasdaq 100, and the Russell 2000 are all in bear markets (meaning a drawdown of at least 20% from the all-time high), and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is just one percentage point away from a bear market, fears of a prolonged bear market are mounting.
Each passing down day can take a toll on an investor and make the urge to sell and walk away look even more appealing. But history tells us that bear markets can
It's one thing to look at history and realize that selling during a bear market has so far never been the right long-term move. But when you're in the thick of one, it helps to have some points to fall back on.
For me,
If you go through this exercise enough, chances are you'll realize that many industry-leading companies look like compelling buys, while many smaller companies whose growth was largely attributed to inexpensive capital and rising stock prices that made for easier equity financing are in a precarious position.
The benefits of just standing still
One of the best approaches for most investors could be to pick their favorite name-brand companies and
Despite decades of wisdom and access to a limitless treasure trove of information, many investors fail to beat the market mainly because they make a simple mistake, such as fighting or fleeing from a bear market. As difficult as it is to do nothing and just stand still in a bear market, it's the most effective and simple way to compound wealth over time. Avoiding mistakes like selling an asset at a bargain-bin price are just as important as making good decisions.
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