The Merger Wave in the Oil Patch Starts Heading Midstream
A merger wave washed over the oil patch last year. Oil giant Chevron (NYSE: CVX) kicked things off in July by agreeing to acquire Noble Energy for $13 billion. That
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A closer look at the recent flurry of activity
Each recently proposed transaction has a slightly different spin and strategic rationale. For example, Chevron made a no-premium, all-equity offer to acquire the rest of Noble Midstream. A deal would give Chevron full control of Noble Midstream's assets, increasing its flexibility while reducing costs. While they haven't agreed to a transaction, the likelihood that they'll reach one is high. Chevron is Noble Midstream's largest customer and investor at a 62.5% interest in the MLP.
Meanwhile, Brookfield Infrastructure and its deep-pocketed institutional partners
Chevron and Brookfield Infrastructure made public acquisition proposals, but Energy Transfer signed a merger agreement with Enable Midstream. This contract comes after the MLP's two largest investors,
More merger overtures seem likely
The midstream sector seems ripe for consolidation. The oil industry's growth prospects are dwindling as the global economy accelerates its shift toward cleaner alternative energy sources.
Two catalysts will likely spur additional M&A activity in the sector. First, smaller midstream companies appear poised to partner up with larger energy companies. Those moves would increase scale and reduce costs, so the combined company could generate more cash. That would give the merged company greater financial flexibility to repay debt, repurchase equity, and boost its dividends.
In addition, more utilities will likely follow OGE and CenterPoint in exiting the midstream sector. That will allow them to focus on their core electricity generating and distribution activities, which will require significant reinvestment in the future to clean up carbon emissions. Pipeline giant Kinder Morgan (NYSE: KMI) recently noted that
Most corporate mergers will follow the Chevron and Energy Transfer blueprint as all-equity, no-premium deals. Paying a high price for their target will enable acquiring midstream companies to preserve cash without diluting existing shareholders.
It also wouldn't be surprising to see the purchasing company use equity to fund most future gas infrastructure acquisitions. That would also preserve their balance sheet flexibility while allowing the sellers to participate in the upside and cash in those shares, when market conditions permit.
Finally, it's also possible that there could be a few more private equity deals like Brookfield's bid to take Inter Pipeline private. Financial investors can squeeze a lot of value out of midstream assets even if they have to pay a premium to gain control.
The midstream M&A wave appears to be in the early innings
The pipeline industry seems to be in the beginning stages of a consolidation wave. With the sector's growth prospects dwindling, mergers can enable companies to reduce costs so that they can generate more cash. That cash can, in turn, increase their ability to pay off debt, repurchase shares, or boost their dividends. Utilities also need money to fund their decarbonization programs.
Meanwhile, private equity funds have money to put to work. All of this suggests that there's a flood of deals coming down the pipeline. This merger wave catalyst makes the midstream sector worth watching.
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