The Top 2 Cybersecurity Stocks Are a Smart Buy for 2022
The need for modern cybersecurity protection has attracted a lot of attention during the pandemic. Many organizations had been neglecting upgrading their IT infrastructure for years. Newly remote workforces, a rapid migration to cloud-based computing, and technologically advanced bad guys have resulted in cybersecurity software demand soaring since 2020.
However, many high-growth cybersecurity stocks trade for incredibly high premiums and have been falling lately given the expectation the Federal Reserve will start raising interest rates this year (high-growth stocks can be very sensitive to changes in interest rates, since higher rates
Palo Alto Networks: The largest cybersecurity firm by revenue
Cloud-based security darling CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ: CRWD) was the largest cybersecurity pure-play company by market cap in 2021, a title it has recently lost after shares have fallen sharply in recent months. But as measured by actual sales, Palo Alto Networks is far and away the largest stand-alone security business, having generated nearly $4.6 billion in sales over the last 12-month stretch.
Palo Alto's software predates the cloud era, so it spent a few billion dollars on
During its period of heightened spending to integrate all of the acquisitions it made, Palo Alto's profitability dipped. However, that's starting to change.
Shares have mostly bucked the recent market slump experienced by high-growth but richly valued tech stocks. Palo Alto's stock trades close to all-time highs while many smaller peers have tanked by double-digit percentages. Even so, at 35 times trailing-12-month free cash flow, the largest cybersecurity business can be purchased for a relative value and is in great shape as it tries to capture more security industry spending in the next few years.
Fortinet: Now the largest cybersecurity firm by market cap
Like Palo Alto Networks, Fortinet is often considered a "legacy" cybersecurity outfit that predates the cloud computing era. However, this is no slouch. Though it trails behind Palo Alto in revenue (it generated over $3.1 billion in sales in the last 12 months), at the moment Fortinet has overtaken both Palo Alto and CrowdStrike as the largest
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There's a good reason for that outperformance. Fortinet is a cash-generating machine, opting for a more conservative strategy of developing new products and technology in-house rather than acquiring smaller peers. The result? Nearly as much free cash flow generation in the last year ($1.25 billion) as Palo Alto, even though Fortinet reports over $1 billion less in annualized sales. Fortinet's free cash flow profit margin was a whopping 40% in the last 12-month period.
Fortinet still looks like a fantastic investment. While it has built out a stable of software products that generate recurring revenue, the company is a best-in-class developer of chips that help protect data centers -- the assets that make
Fortinet expects full-year 2021 revenue to be up about 29% year over year, a pace that could moderate heading into 2022. Nevertheless, with $1.85 billion in cash and equivalents and another $1.53 billion in short- and long-term investments, offset by debt of just $1 billion, this is a superb cybersecurity business to be invested in right now. Shares trade for 43 times trailing-12-month free cash flow, a worthy premium given this long-term winner's track record of exceptional shareholder returns.
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