Up 143% in 2020, Is Teladoc Health Still a Buy?
Investors have experienced about a
But the investment world has watched businesses that offer game-changing growth potential fare even better. Telemedicine giant Teladoc Health (NYSE: TDOC) is the perfect example, with a 143% gain on a year-to-date basis.
The pertinent question, with Teladoc more than doubling this year and gaining 875% over the trailing five-year period, is if investors should still buy Teladoc Health's stock? Before reaching a verdict, let's first take a closer look at the various reasons why Teladoc is a company worth buying and possibly avoiding.
Here's why Teladoc might struggle
Possibly the biggest hurdle that Teladoc is going to need to overcome is the eventual resolution to the COVID-19 pandemic. Telehealth companies received a huge boost with physicians wanting to keep potentially infected and at-risk patients out of their offices. This has led to a surge in membership and fee-based virtual visits through the Teladoc platform. In each of the past two quarters, Teladoc has seen total visits more than triple from the prior-year period, with the company on track to handle over 10 million visits in 2020. There's obvious concern that the end of the pandemic could lead to a slowdown in virtual visit growth.
Teladoc is also expected to face increasing competition in the telemedicine space. The newly public American Well (NYSE: AMWL), better known as Amwell, is one of Teladoc's greatest threats. In the third quarter, Amwell's active provider count grew tenfold from the prior-year period, with high-margin subscription revenue accounting for more than 40% of total sales. Most importantly, Amwell has
Another concern is the potential for sector rotation on Wall Street. If coronavirus vaccines are successful in halting the pandemic, we could see investors rotate out of stay-at-home stocks in favor of time-tested
But there's another side to this story that needs to be told.
Teladoc could be the perfect stock to buy, even after its enormous run
What investors often overlook when analyzing
The beauty of the virtual visit model is that it benefits the entire healthcare chain. Physicians have more flexibility to their schedule, patients never need to leave the comfort of their homes, and health insurers are almost always charged less for virtual visits than in-person consultations. This makes it likely that insurers and physicians will push for increased telemedicine usage.
Another catalyst in Teladoc's sails is the
It should be noted that Livongo
Furthermore, the combination of Teladoc and Livongo mean growth, growth, and more growth for investors. Considering how quickly the healthcare landscape is shifting during the pandemic, it's difficult to forecast how quickly this newly combined company can grow. But according to Wall Street, sales are expected to more than triple to approximately $3.4 billion in 2023.
The verdict
Now that we've covered both the promise and peril of owning Teladoc Health stock, the $64,000 question remains: Is it still worth buying after a 143% run-up in 2020?
Considering that I labeled Teladoc as the "
I have to admit, as a Livongo Health shareholder, I wasn't exactly thrilled with the idea of Teladoc scooping up one of my largest holdings. Livongo had already established itself as profitable on a recurring basis, and it was growing much faster than Teladoc. But it didn't take too long for my skepticism to abate.
On Oct. 12, Livongo announced that it was leveraging an existing relationship Teladoc had in place with Guidewell Health (the parent of Florida's Blue Cross Blue Shield plans) to
What's more, Teladoc Health's nosebleed valuation isn't so terrifying when to take into account its
Investors can still buy into the Teladoc Health grow story with confidence.
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